Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000151 0.000168 0.000185 0.000205 0.000227 0.000251 0.000280
2025-08-31 0.000117 0.000140 0.000166 0.000198 0.000238 0.000284 0.000344
2025-09-07 0.000100 0.000125 0.000157 0.000198 0.000253 0.000322 0.000416
2025-09-14 0.000089 0.000117 0.000152 0.000202 0.000271 0.000362 0.000496
2025-09-21 0.000078 0.000106 0.000144 0.000199 0.000277 0.000387 0.000557
2025-09-28 0.000068 0.000096 0.000134 0.000191 0.000276 0.000401 0.000602
2025-10-05 0.000063 0.000091 0.000131 0.000193 0.000290 0.000437 0.000683
2025-10-12 0.000060 0.000088 0.000130 0.000198 0.000307 0.000479 0.000779
2025-10-19 0.000055 0.000083 0.000125 0.000195 0.000311 0.000501 0.000845
2025-10-26 0.000052 0.000080 0.000124 0.000198 0.000325 0.000539 0.000942
2025-11-02 0.000048 0.000075 0.000119 0.000195 0.000329 0.000562 0.001016
2025-11-09 0.000045 0.000072 0.000116 0.000195 0.000337 0.000591 0.001104
2025-11-16 0.000042 0.000068 0.000112 0.000192 0.000341 0.000615 0.001187
2025-11-23 0.000038 0.000063 0.000106 0.000186 0.000337 0.000626 0.001247
2025-11-30 0.000036 0.000061 0.000104 0.000186 0.000347 0.000662 0.001366
2025-12-07 0.000034 0.000059 0.000103 0.000190 0.000363 0.000713 0.001524
2025-12-14 0.000032 0.000056 0.000099 0.000186 0.000364 0.000734 0.001619
2025-12-21 0.000029 0.000052 0.000094 0.000179 0.000358 0.000738 0.001673
2025-12-28 0.000028 0.000051 0.000093 0.000181 0.000371 0.000786 0.001841
2026-01-04 0.000027 0.000050 0.000093 0.000186 0.000389 0.000847 0.002052
2026-01-11 0.000026 0.000048 0.000090 0.000183 0.000392 0.000872 0.002174
2026-01-18 0.000025 0.000047 0.000090 0.000185 0.000405 0.000926 0.002382
2026-01-25 0.000023 0.000045 0.000087 0.000183 0.000408 0.000954 0.002524